Deal or No Deal: Queen of Obliviousness

The sister of a contestant was flown in to be the surprise model holding a case. Although the setup only works if the contestant would recognize her.
moonsammysays...

Some people really need to have their license to breathe taken away. Not permanently, just for... I dunno... a half hour or so.

Wait, we don't have those? Crap. Ok, how about we just whack her in the head with something? Suitcase 21 looks good to me.

Xaxsays...

Ah, it's so easy to say she's a fool, when many of us would've been just as oblivious... well, perhaps not quite as much, but still; there's no reason contestants would be looking at all of the models' faces throughout the game.

jwraysays...

Deal or No Deal is a totally idiotic game that promotes superstitious bullshit.

I get a kick out of moron guests on that show trying to pray or use ESP to figure out which case to pick instead of picking randomly.

The optimal strategy is to just pick a random case to eliminate every time, and only accept an offer if it exceeds the arithmetic mean of the remaining numbers, unless you prefer the certainty of a small reward to a higher expected value of a random variable reward.

If you want to take tax into the equation, only accept an offer if its after-tax value exceeds the arithmetic mean of the after-tax value of each remaining number.

This no educational value and a trivial optimal strategy, which makes it completely worthless except for the comedy of watching the spastic effusive moron guests. At least people might learn something by watching Wheel of Fortune or Jeopardy, Millionaire, or Whose Line. But Deal or No Deal is braindead.

Paybacksays...

^ If it were a guy he would have noticed right away. The internal dialog would go something like,

"Whoa, 21 is totally into me, she's always smil... hey... she looks a lot like Brenda... omfg... I have to call Brenda after the show I found some bimbo that totally looks like her."

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