Recent Comments by enfathom 
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The Monty Hall Problem
enfathomSure, but just to reassure those of us who may be a wee bit doubtful, can you please go prove to yourself that the world is round? It doesn't matter how many times I prove an answer to myself, it doesn't please anyone else, and either you don't know that or you're trying to do intellectual grandstanding (pretty pathetic).
You could try reasoning it out - it can be mathematically proven too, but only within the limits of knowing how to apply it. Consider two doors, behind one is a goat, behind the other is a car. You can only choose one, but have no way to know which it is. Now, tell me how is that different from the situation presented in the video? Simply, it isn't! You have no way to know what is behind the door chosen primarily, and no way to know what is behind the alternate door.
The Monty Hall Problem
enfathomWhat is this, math and science answers by democracy? Now I understand why the country has ended up the way it is. I'm just using the simple principles of statistics as taught and used in the undergrad statistics courses I've been in. I guarantee that anyone of reasonable mathematical credulity would arrive at the 50-50 solution.
The fact is this: when the choice must be made, there are two doors left, and one does not know what is behind either. One is a goat, and one is a car. The chooser cannot say that the door he first chose is any more likely to be a car than the other door. There is literally no other statistical information to deduce any bias towards either one of them. Just for the record, I have to feel sorry for those of you who feel otherwise, and rather than make analogies to people who *think the world is flat* and so forth, direct you to the following URL: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pUmVe9qnw7E
The Monty Hall Problem
enfathomThis explanation is a load of rubbish, and it is ridiculous for someone to submit it under the guise of *science* or *statistics*. Statistics is based upon what is objectively known, and the odds for this problem always become 50-50 as soon as one choice is ruled out.
I'm hoping that this video was really intended to be a joke.