What is happening in Iran?

Is it a revolution? Or just hype on twitter? Any news junkies on the sift wanna update us?

[small update]

Some of the (few!) media outlets reporting on the protests:

http://www.memeorandum.com/
http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/
http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/

Also, pajamasmedia has a list of the various crackdowns Ahmadinejad has made on the protests.
Mashiki says...

It looks like they've changed their tune over the last day or so. The page simply says they're "concerned over irregularities" while carrying on over a few other things. It looks highly different from what you've said, that would tell me there is by and far more going on than what's been put out.

Crake says...

^It didn't change, Andrew Sullivan (&gwiz) interpreted the sentence "The Presidency of the Council of the EU closely followed the course of the Presidential elections held on 12 June 2009 and notices Mr. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was re-elected" to mean they acknowledge his victory.

Mousavi is going to march in about half an hour. There have been rumors that the march was cancelled, but this was misinformation by the government. "#iranElection" on twitter and the "IRAN" group on facebook remain best sources of information. The mainstream media really dropped the ball on this one, and their headlines are a couple of hours or more behind, and not entirely reliable.

gwiz665 says...

I think you're seeing specters, mashiki. It looks exactly like it did when I posted the link. I'll certainly give you that it's a bit cryptic and with the "concern" I thought that they didn't acknowledge the validity of the voting process - and for what it's worth, I don't think they really do yet. It's vague enough that they could claim, that this was just a preliminary assessment without any further investigation, and back away from it.

NetRunner says...

Whatever it is that's going on in Iran, I'm twisted in knots about it. Part of this makes me tearful with hope; when I see hundreds of thousands of students taking to the streets and protesting, I can't help but feel good about seeing a peaceful demonstration being successfully carried off.

So far there has indeed been violence, but most of it is the usual kind of shit that happens when riot police do a stormtrooper imitation -- people get beaten, but not killed.

There have been videos showing a lone policeman firing his weapon into the crowd, and at least one or two reports of people dying, but so far nothing really horrific has happened as far as we know.

God only knows if there's any chance of this making a serious change in the country, but for now I'm both filled with this pernicious hope, and a terrible fear that this will turn very ugly any minute now.

geo321 says...

Pepe Escobar did an interesting analysis of some power shifting behind the scenes...
http://www.videosift.com/video/Iran-s-Revolutionary-Guard-stages-a-coup

While this election showed there is institutional failure in having an open democratic process in Iran, a greatly positive note is the number of Iranians that perceived the election as being an institutional failure of an open democratic process. This will grow the base of people demanding more civil rights and an election system that isn't manipulated.
Demographically Iran is perfectly situated for a youth revolution. That they will have to fight for such basic rights is sad, especially against such an entrenched oligarchy. I only hope for the best for them.

geo321 says...

Juan Cole's site Informed Comment (http://www.juancole.com/) always has good links to analysis of events in the middle east generally.

Iran's official results...
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/06/iranian-election-results-by-province.html

The more info that comes out it appears that this election wasn't just indirectly manipulated by screwing with communication systems, putting out false news stories, false announcements, falsely canceling opposing political speeches and rallies. It was most likely directly falsified. The ballot counting doesn't seem to make sense.

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