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newtboy (Member Profile)

NDT Explains Why 2023 Climate Models Failed

bcglorf says...

Media(and even some of the vocal scientists trying to urge action) have been guilty of overstating confidence in climate modelling. Which is more or less what they are agreeing on in the video.

The IPCC summary of state of the art climate modelling, and virtually ALL published papers on various climate models agree that the unknown and poorly modelled aspects of our climate are larger than the known influence of CO2.

That is to say, the physical modelling largely operates on energy in and out from the Sun and then playing out how changes in that energy balance operate. The thing is, that energy budget is enormous, and the number of factors at play are even larger and dynamic to make it more fun. The influence of CO2 in the energy budget is one of the relatively straightforward elements, and so we've got a pretty good and confident assessment of how much it impacts energy balance. The problem with climate modelling, is that the CO2 impact is smaller than the errors and unknowns in many other factors in the model including clouds.

Which is all saying that our climate modelling is hard, and even though we know CO2 changes are pushing the energy balance up, our modelling of the energy balance is still not good enough to accurately predict energy balance changes. That means we've got a giant 'all other things being equal' qualifier on model projections because if cloud behaviour changes based on temperature, we KNOW that our errors there are larger than the influence of CO2.

Modellers have been trying to draw attention to this nuance, but it's been deemed inconvenient to persuading the public to act and thus ignored by many pushing for action. The almost inevitable side effect though is that over time the reality of the models inaccuracy will play out and the public is gonna be asking why 'science' was wrong.

eric3579 (Member Profile)

siftbot says...

Congratulations! Your video, A gun safe should not have a giant hole in it., has reached the #1 spot in the current Top 15 New Videos listing. This is a very difficult thing to accomplish but you managed to pull it off. For your contribution you have been awarded 2 Power Points.

This achievement has earned you your "Golden One" Level 821 Badge!

eric3579 (Member Profile)

Florida Man Tries To Cross Atlantic In Hamster Wheel

noims says...

4th offence. It's getting serious... one more and they could take away his giant floating hamster wheel licence.

The Biggest Science Story of the Week

BSR says...

My solution would be to make giant sunglasses for the earth. The only drawback is how do I make giant ears and a nose to hold them in place? I'm so f'ing close.

newtboy said:

*doublepromote someone else finally noticing global dimming as a significant factor in global warming.

Global dimming from excess sulfur dioxide may be responsible for cutting the current excess anthropogenic heat in the system by between 15% to 50% depending on the study.
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/13/what-is-solar-geoengineering-sunlight-reflection-risks-and-benefits.html
What this means is, if we stop polluting tomorrow, the CO2 and other greenhouse gases will continue to warm us at the same rate for decades to centuries, but the sulfur dioxide that has blocked between .25 to 2 degrees Celsius temperature rise will be gone almost immediately, and a significant sudden rise in temp will be the result kicking off or feeding more feedback loops.

While it may seem he’s onto some global warming solution…just put more sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere…that ignores the lower growth rates and lost solar production it causes by deflecting a significant percentage of sunlight, both adding to net CO2 added to the system.
The incredibly scary part is the whitehouse and other international governments are actively researching ways to inject sulfur dioxide into the upper atmosphere despite knowing it has so many issues.

There’s no easy fix.

Vox: How cruise ships got so big

newtboy says...

Interesting history.

My parents, already divorced, travelled on the ridiculously opulent QE2 in the late 80’s…(I thought it was its last Atlantic crossing but google says no.)

I’ve been on one cruise, on https://seadream.com/, which at the time accommodated 100 passengers and the same number of crew. It spoiled me for these giant ships. Crowds, buffets, kids, only major ports…ugh. The personal service, 5 star food and drinks, tiny unknown ports of call on exotic Virgin islands with no crowds, and only older respectful passengers was perfect…we were the second youngest couple there at 50. I highly recommend it despite the price.

Ukraine losing 500 troops daily in Bakhmut fight

surfingyt says...

my only thought is they can only "save face" at this point and it would require a regime change along with a dramatic shift in policy towards the west and profuse apologies. doubt that will happen so im fully prepared to live out my remaining life watching ruzzia become a giant failed pariah state. the west will beat them into submission again.

newtboy said:

I wonder how it’s even possible for Russia to “win” even if they take 100% of Ukraine, which seems impossible itself. It looks far more likely they’re about to lose Crimea.

Even a socialist see that the Trump indictment is BS

visionep says...

How is Bidens answer of "we will make sure he doesn't take power by following the constitution" a suspect answer?

I guess when everyone you follow spews lies and says things that are measurably unlawful that someone saying they will follow the laws of our country to accomplish their goals sounds fishy?

Wow... talk about a giant nothing of an argument.

BSR (Member Profile)

siftbot says...

Congratulations! Your video, Attack of the Giant Bubbles!, has reached the #1 spot in the current Top 15 New Videos listing. This is a very difficult thing to accomplish but you managed to pull it off. For your contribution you have been awarded 2 Power Points.

This achievement has earned you your "Golden One" Level 203 Badge!

BSR (Member Profile)

Voltes V: Legacy: The world is under attack | MEGA TRAILER

cloudballoon says...

FYI: The "5 vehicles combine into a giant robot" concept was a very popular cartoon concept in Japanese animes WELL BEFORE Voltron. The later ones got even more than 5 members, went up to 15 and was the most outrageous of the concept (adapted into the latter Vechicle Team Voltron in Western media) iirc .

Voltes V was first aired in '77. While the original Lions Voltron came out years LATER in the mid-'80s. So can't claim plagiarism.

This is properly licensed (by TOEI Japan) trailer made by a Philippines studio, so it's legitimate and not fan-made.

"Voltes V" ws the immediate followup of "Combattler V"

I grew up with these cartoons in their original Japanese version but dubbed into Cantonese while I was in Hong Kong.

Some Wikis of the Japanese animes:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ch%C5%8Ddenji_Robo_Combattler_V
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Voltes_V
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beast_King_GoLion
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armored_Fleet_Dairugger_XV

newtboy said:

So the Philippines doesn’t believe in copyright?
This is pure plagiarism of Voltron.

bobknight33 (Member Profile)

newtboy says...

Exactly the non-answer know nothing twaddle I expect from you, even when you are warned against such stupid vapid nonsense that only indicates you have absolutely no clue what you’re talking about, as usual, and are just regurgitating propaganda as best you can, which is pretty damn bad because you clearly don’t understand it.

Prices will go up….by 1/1400 of one cent per gallon? Little boy, you are such a troll with nothing to say….and you’re undoubtedly wrong as usual.

In total under Biden 180 million barrels have been released, most over the summers when prices spike. Under 16 days worth over 730 days. In Oct he announced the final release…10-15 million barrels, through the end of the year. .8 - 1.2 days worth over 90 days. Barely over 1% of demand maximum. If you think that dramatically changes prices at the pump, you’re dumber that you sound….which is unbelievable.

Meanwhile, oil company profits have tripled from pre pandemic levels after a few oil companies had 2 bad quarters in 2019- 2020. They recovered their losses and then some in 2021, 2022 they raked America over the coals, intentionally creating shortages while their profits skyrocketed.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/wrapup-global-oil-giants-rake-massive-profits-third-quarter-2022-10-28/

Tapping the strategic petroleum reserve was never about lowering prices, it was about showing he was trying everything to lower them as they rose worldwide faster than in America. It was a political show to stop the Cons from claiming he was doing nothing as they blocked every legislative move he tried. It would never make a noticeable difference by itself.

What will happen to gas prices, I expect they’ll continue to fall precipitously like they have since June because 1) our supply has returned to close to normal and 2) we are in winter, when natural gas price rises and gasoline drops EVERY SINGLE YEAR. Duh.

The quality of your trolling has depreciated noticeably since your numerous political and financial losses piled up. What’s wrong? Are your handlers too busy preparing their defenses, and looking for new networks, to spoon feed you today’s fabricated Con positions?

bobknight33 said:

Biden is using the SPR which has lower prices. by stopping its use prices will go up.
There is no long dissertation needed. It is simple supply and demand -little man



So what do you think?
When the SPR is depleted or stopped being used what do you think will happen to gas prices?

Train plowing through truck carrying massive concrete beam

BSR says...

Weren't you watching‽

Didn't you see the massive concrete beam that was struck by a speeding Norfolk Southern diesel locomotive‽

You didn't hear Priscilla's orgasmic yelp‽

Didn't you notice the Border Collie was in the video above the one you're questioning‽

You don't think a giant Barbie Ken cause such a crash‽

Ever heard of Donald Trump‽

Are you questioning yourself‽

Dammit‽

StukaFox said:

So what exactly happened here? A train hit something? Is Priscilla ok? Were any Border Collies hurt? Did a giant Barbie cause this? Can a bunny really eat a horse's face off?

So many questions in life -- who has time for it all?

Shit, that was a question too, wasn't it?

DAMMIT!

Train plowing through truck carrying massive concrete beam

StukaFox says...

So what exactly happened here? A train hit something? Is Priscilla ok? Were any Border Collies hurt? Did a giant Barbie cause this? Can a bunny really eat a horse's face off?

So many questions in life -- who has time for it all?

Shit, that was a question too, wasn't it?

DAMMIT!



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