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Minting a $1 million dollar gold coin

Sagemind says...

Nothing of value?????
The medium itself is worth the value.
Not to mention the artistry and technology that went into it.
Further, it's an engineering achievement to be proud of, and a great piece of advertisement for the mint to gain international contracts.
One million is nothing to the industry that creates, and prints the worlds coins.
I'd say it's worth a lot!

brycewi19 said:

That is quite possibly one of the stupidest projects I've ever seen undertaken.

And then to stroke their own egos after accomplishing nothing of value - astonishing.

Minting a $1 million dollar gold coin

Minting a $1 million dollar gold coin

sixshot says...

gonna sidetrack the debate for a bit and ask on a different note:

is the Royal Canadian Mint an actual mint where real spendable currency are produced? Or is this like some sort of privatized-like company designed to sell products of specialized minted coins?

Also, because I'm no expert on the matter, what about the US equiv on the above?

Minting a $1 million dollar gold coin

eric3579 jokingly says...

A Canadian, after watching a Canadian made video about a giant Canadian gold coin said, 'If WE(Canadians) have enough money to piss away', was probably not referring to the American debt. Not always about you.

-edit-
i see he made the same point above

lantern53 said:

Only 18,000,000,000 of those would pay off the debt.

Minting a $1 million dollar gold coin

Dji. Death Sails

Guy Stacks 3,118 Coins On A Single Dime

3,117 Coins Stacked on One Dime

3,117 Coins Stacked on One Dime

3,117 Coins Stacked on One Dime

Would You Take This Bet?

RedSky says...

Your car example has a sample of 1 though, I'm specifically talking about large samples.

I think you're missing the point, when you increase the sample size of a favorable bet, eventually the probability of you losing money in the series of bets becomes negligible.

Take the video's example of say risking a coin toss of $10 for a potential $15.

You only need to win 40% of the time to break even ($15 * 0.4 - $10 * 0.6 = 0).

To work out the probability of this for different sample sizes we just look at the cumulative binomial distribution:

For 10 samples, 40% success or more occurs 82.8% of the time.
For 100 samples, 40% success or more occurs 98.2% of the time.
For 1000 samples, 40% success or more approximates 100% of the time.

If you want to work it out yourself or visualize it, you can use a tool like this:

http://homepage.stat.uiowa.edu/~mbognar/applets/bin.html

bcglorf said:

It is. The thing is can you afford the risk. $10 most people can afford the risk without going homeless, but maybe they would have to skip pizza that night and make KD. Just increase the bet, If you could bet your car, today against somebody's porsche in a coin toss, it's a great bet. You also could very reasonably choose not to because the loss of your car is a greater disadvantage to you than gaining a new porsche. It's cost of opportunity, and for a wealthy person, risking a cheap car for a much better one at 50/50 is a bet they can afford to take. For a pizza delivery driver supporting their family it's a choice between maybe coming home with a porsche or coming home without a car, without a job and no means to buy a new car any time soon either.

Would You Take This Bet?

bcglorf says...

It is. The thing is can you afford the risk. $10 most people can afford the risk without going homeless, but maybe they would have to skip pizza that night and make KD. Just increase the bet, If you could bet your car, today against somebody's porsche in a coin toss, it's a great bet. You also could very reasonably choose not to because the loss of your car is a greater disadvantage to you than gaining a new porsche. It's cost of opportunity, and for a wealthy person, risking a cheap car for a much better one at 50/50 is a bet they can afford to take. For a pizza delivery driver supporting their family it's a choice between maybe coming home with a porsche or coming home without a car, without a job and no means to buy a new car any time soon either.

RedSky said:

I don't get how it's not obvious to people that over a large sample size this is a good deal. Isn't it just intuitive?

Would You Take This Bet?

ChaosEngine says...

Video has 1m+ views on youtube... looks like it worked out for him.

Leaving aside the mechanics of the coin toss; for me, it's about the level of risk. I'd absolutely risk $10 on a whim because I can afford to lose it. Risking my car or my house would be a completely different proposition.

Would You Take This Bet?

brycewi19 says...

It also needs to be factored in the nature of the game.

A coin flip isn't a) very entertaining nor b) skill based.

That's why games at casinos like poker and blackjack are quite popular, because they have either skill or the illusion of skill involved while also being entertaining.

That's how you get someone to agree to a bet like this - added value of the event itself.

Would You Take This Bet?

radx says...

"For those who are wondering, I convinced my interviewees that the bet was not a scam: they could inspect the coin, flip it themselves, use their own coin etc. I explained that the experiment was intended to explore their approach to risk. It was fear of losing $10, not distrust, that led them to decline the bet."

And here I was just about to point out that any bloke on the street offering me a similar bet is a con artist by default. Sometimes it is good to check YT comments first.



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