From TPM:

Here's our daily composite of the five major national tracking polls. Barack Obama still holds a solid lead over John McCain, with the overall margin is unchanged from yesterday:

• Gallup: Obama 51%, McCain 41%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 50%-43% Obama lead yesterday.

• Rasmussen: Obama 50%, McCain 45%, with a ±2% margin of error, compared to a 51%-45% Obama lead from yesterday.

• Hotline/Diageo: Obama 48%, McCain 42%, with a ±3.4% margin of error, compared to a 49%-41% Obama lead yesterday.

• Research 2000: Obama 52%, McCain 40%, with a ±3% margin of error, compared to a 53%-40% Obama lead from yesterday.

• Zogby: Obama 48%, McCain 44%, with a ±2.9% margin of error, compared to a 49%-43% Obama lead yesterday.

Adding these polls together and weighting them by the square roots of their sample sizes, Obama is ahead 50.1%-42.5%, a lead of 7.6 points, compared to a 50.4%-42.8% Obama lead yesterday. The undecideds have increased by a total of 0.6%, but it's come equally out of both candidates' scores.

Oh, that's rich.

He's got them where we want them too: In the winner's circle.

Actually, just like a war, or many other elections in American history, it's never too late for Obama to lose. That's what I'm afraid of.

Nope, it's not too late for him to lose, but I'm having trouble imagining what McCain could try that he hasn't already.

I think the only thing that could shake it up at this point is a major external event, but given that much of Obama's lead seems to be driven by the fact that he seems to have won over the public to trusting his judgment, I don't see the usual terrorism/national security/bin Laden stuff moving things back in McCain's direction.

It'd need to be a personal scandal, and given the millions of dollars and probably millions of man-hours spent by the GOP to find one, they don't seem to have come up with anything substantive at all.

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