I think the most interesting thing here was Chomsky talking about how humans are absolutely terrible at predicting things before they happen, but have an amazing capacity to construct narratives to explain events after they occur (often with zero evidence).

It just so happens there's an entire book on that called "The Black Swan". I highly recommend it. The author is also coming out with a new book called "Anti-Fragility" and has released several draft chapters on his FB page (I hate FB...his is the only page I go to).
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Nassim-Nicholas-Taleb/13012333374

I think this Taleb guy is one of the most important thinkers around...he's just not as public as Chomsky, Dawkins, etc, nor is he an academic.

Seems that we like Kurt Vonnegut...

1. Catch-22 by Joseph Heller.
2. Eunoia by Christian Bök.
3. The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
4. Cat's Cradle by Kurt Vonnegut.
5. Hard to decide, perhaps The Silence of the Lambs by Thomas Harris or "What If?" edited by Robert Cowley.

>> ^BisH0p69:
>>
We can however observe that the worldwide quality of spelling, grammar and punctuation seems to be on a downward spiral.


Always interesting to watch the assumptions that go on in this world.

Name of the game is assumptions, not questions. Welcome to non-observational, assumption-filled world.

>> ^westy:
shame the scientist guy cannot talk in a way most people will listen to.
fact is anny mony system that has a large degree of human nature intergrated within it will not be entiraly prodictable as humans are not allways ratoinal and no person can predict the future and exsternal events that will shape the markets.


We can however observe that the worldwide quality of spelling, grammar and punctuation seems to be on a downward spiral.

Tags for this video have been changed from 'Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Black Swan, forecasting' to 'Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Black Swan, forecasting, statistics, markets, uncertainty, 00s' - edited by Eklek