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Cannon Fodder Intro - Amiga Version

Follow to learn music theory with me.

noims says...

Very good, kids. Now for lesson two just follow this nice man playing drums.


Bored to tears? Time to get out and shake it up!

Bike tubes have been #taken

You Can't Leave Like This

I Got Wood

Ryan Gosling & Mark Ronson Perform 'I'm Just Ken' at Oscars

5SF: The Baby Bump

HOT, HOT, HOT - Buster Poindexter - 80s

Dune II: The Building of a Dynasty

Serenity: River vs the Whole Bar

Please Warm My Wiener

noims says...

Those blues dudes sure are particular about making sure their meat is properly handled. Catfish Keith is an old favourite of mine.


Dethklok-Thunderhorse

Dethklok-Thunderhorse

NDT Explains Why 2023 Climate Models Failed

bcglorf says...

Media(and even some of the vocal scientists trying to urge action) have been guilty of overstating confidence in climate modelling. Which is more or less what they are agreeing on in the video.

The IPCC summary of state of the art climate modelling, and virtually ALL published papers on various climate models agree that the unknown and poorly modelled aspects of our climate are larger than the known influence of CO2.

That is to say, the physical modelling largely operates on energy in and out from the Sun and then playing out how changes in that energy balance operate. The thing is, that energy budget is enormous, and the number of factors at play are even larger and dynamic to make it more fun. The influence of CO2 in the energy budget is one of the relatively straightforward elements, and so we've got a pretty good and confident assessment of how much it impacts energy balance. The problem with climate modelling, is that the CO2 impact is smaller than the errors and unknowns in many other factors in the model including clouds.

Which is all saying that our climate modelling is hard, and even though we know CO2 changes are pushing the energy balance up, our modelling of the energy balance is still not good enough to accurately predict energy balance changes. That means we've got a giant 'all other things being equal' qualifier on model projections because if cloud behaviour changes based on temperature, we KNOW that our errors there are larger than the influence of CO2.

Modellers have been trying to draw attention to this nuance, but it's been deemed inconvenient to persuading the public to act and thus ignored by many pushing for action. The almost inevitable side effect though is that over time the reality of the models inaccuracy will play out and the public is gonna be asking why 'science' was wrong.



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