search results matching tag: ochs

» channel: nordic

go advanced with your query
Search took 0.000 seconds

    Videos (17)     Sift Talk (0)     Blogs (0)     Comments (28)   

Is Climate Change Just A Lot Of Hot Air?

bcglorf says...

@charliem,

Energy is absolutely a better measure and marker of climate change than temperature. I started there since the video did. In reality though, everything in climate change is solely about the energy balance at the Top Of Atmosphere. More TOA energy in and temps go up in the long term, less and temps go down. It's the very foundation of climate change.

The climate models that your links look to for projections of things like methane thresholds are based on modelled temperature predictions. The IPCC notes the following on the state of the art in climate models:
For instance, maintaining the global mean top of the atmosphere (TOA) energy balance in a simulation of pre-industrial climate is essential to prevent the climate system from drifting to an unrealistic state. The Models used in this report almost universally contain adjustments to parameters in their treatment of clouds to fulfil this important constraint of the climate system (Watanabe et al., 2010; Donner et al., 2011; Gent et al., 2011; Golaz et al., 2011; Martin et al., 2011; Hazeleger et al., 2012; Mauritsen et al., 2012; Hourdin et al., 2013).
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/WG1AR5_Chapter09_FINAL.pdf
It's in Box 9.1

So, climate models currently FAIL to predict TOA energy accurately and hand tuning is required for modelling temperatures into the known past in order to avoid unrealistic states because the TOA energy is wrong. Maybe we aught not panic just yet on extrapolations from that base. I'm not calling climate models garbage, rather they are a learning tool for climate processes and one lesson is that we have a long ways to go in understanding the central component of TOA energy balance. If you go to google scholar and lookup the references from the IPCC assertions you'll find that the modellers acknowledge that most models still either leak or create energy from nothing. As in, even conservation of energy is imperfect in them still.

Your cursory glance approach is a problem, the devil is in the details.

Looking at energy further from NASA's numbers also tells us that the net contribution to TOA energy trapping from the CO2 we've added in the last 100 years is about 3W/m-2 globally. The global TOA energy imbalance is about 0.5W/M-2. In other words, if we could magically remove all the CO2 we've added to the atmosphere, we'd suddenly have a global energy imbalance at TOA of -2.5W/M-2. That brings two things to mind.
1.The enormous energy imbalance you want to call a catastrophe is 0.5W/M-2, but merely rolling back to 1900 CO2 concentrations today would yield a negative energy imbalance 5 times as large.
2.Of the 3W/M-2 that our actions have pushed on the planet, natural factors(warming and other unknowns) have already balance out 2.5W/M-2 of the imbalance, today.

You also might wanna check how much energy is in the oceans on the whole. If you take the increase in energy as a percentage of OCH instead of straight joules you'll find the trend is << than 1% annually.

Swedish Insurance Ad Introduces Skydiving Cats

PancakeMaster says...

Vi ägs av våra kunder, och den här reklamfilmen är tillägnad en av våra ägare; Eva. Hennes hjärta klappar för katten.

==

We're owned by our clients, and this commercial is dedicated to one of our owners; Eva. Her heart beats for the cat.

the DOTA song

Scotchtoberfest

TDS: Saucy Mormons and Badger Heads

Matt Damon Gets Viciously Attacked on Live Radio Show

alien_concept says...

>> ^Issykitty:

>> ^alien_concept:
>> ^BicycleRepairMan:
What a lousy idea for a radio interview. But damn, He's been in many cool movies. He missed "The Informant" (thats all I got w/o IMDB)

Scott Mills often does things like this on his show. Always naff, but I think it's more about testing out what celebrities will put up with

What is "naff?" Sorry, I don't speak Brittonese.


Wtf the fuck is Britonnese? Some kind of mental hybrid I imagine.

"Och aye the noo, what's the craic? Toodlepip, boyo!"

Salem Al Fakir: "Roxy" -- Awesome 80s-style music video!

oritteropo says...

Didn't find the original video, but found this cute one with brothers Nils and Sven playing wargames on a Summer's day (Bröderna Nils och Sven leker krig en sommardag)

<object style="height: 390px; width: 640px">

Hundreds of Bed Bugs in a Cup

calvados says...

>> ^Porksandwich:

They had a television show where the bed bugs were migrating through the wall around the electrical socket into a whole other apartment eating the other person up (who was allergic). They called out an exterminator for them, exterminator couldn't find them in the mattress of the person who called but found traces of them on the pillow cases and stuff heading to the wall. So they asked the adjoining apartment if they could examine their apartment and found their mattress to be heavily infested.
Have no idea if that was possible, true, or even a real show (could have been a fake reality show)...but it gave me the creeps thinking that I could be munched on and never find a real trace of them because they were coming from another bed.


Och aye, apparently they'll very often nest deep in the walls 15 or 20 feet from their meal (you), and just make the commute every night, no problem.

Lego Commercial: LEGO SYSTEMS 1960

Colbert Report - John EdWørds

Conan O'Brien Full 60 Minutes Interview

Bill Moyers on Health Care Debate

Groundskeeper Willy has some advice for the lonely

Groundskeeper Willy has some advice for the lonely

Greetings from Кыргызстан! (Blog Entry by MarineGunrock)

qualm says...

Phil Ochs: Cops of the World

Come, get out of the way, boys
Quick, get out of the way
You'd better watch what you say, boys
Better watch what you say
We've rammed in your harbor and tied to your port
And our pistols are hungry and our tempers are short
So bring your daughters around to the port
'Cause we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World

We pick and choose as please, boys
Pick and choose as please
You'd best get down on your knees, boys
Best get down on your knees
We're hairy and horny and ready to shack
And we don't care if you're yellow or black
Just take off your clothes and lay down on your back
'Cause we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World

Our boots are needing a shine, boys
Boots are needing a shine
But our Coca-Cola is fine, boys
Coca-Cola is fine
We've got to protect all our citizens fair
So we'll send a battalion for everyone there
And maybe we'll leave in a couple of years
'Cause we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World

And dump the reds in a pile, boys
Dump the reds in a pile
You'd better wipe off that smile, boys
Better wipe off that smile
We'll spit through the streets of the cities we wreck
And we'll find you a leader that you can elect
Those treaties we signed were a pain in the neck
'Cause we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World

And clean the johns with a rag, boys
Clean the johns with a rag
If you like you can use your flag, boys
If you like you can use your flag
We've got too much money we're looking for toys
And guns will be guns and boys will be boys
But we'll gladly pay for all we destroy
'Cause we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World

Please stay off of the grass, boys
Please stay off of the grass
Here's a kick in the ass, boys
Here's a kick in the ass
We'll smash down your doors, we don't bother to knock
We've done it before, so why all the shock
We're the biggest and the toughest kids on the block
And we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World

And when we butchered your sons, boys
When we butchered your sons
Have a stick of our gum, boys
Have a stick of our bubble gum
We own half the world, oh say can you see
And the name for our profits is democracy
So, like it or not, you will have to be free
'Cause we're the Cops of the World, boys
We're the Cops of the World



Send this Article to a Friend



Separate multiple emails with a comma (,); limit 5 recipients






Your email has been sent successfully!

Manage this Video in Your Playlists

Beggar's Canyon