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Videos (105) | Sift Talk (7) | Blogs (7) | Comments (761) |
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Hypersonic Missile Nonproliferation
The simple point is that as soon as we realized the capability of the Zero we easily and quickly designed a plane(s) capable of combating it.
The Yak-3 didn't enter the war until 1944, at which point the war had massively turned in Western Theatre. For the bulk of the conflict, they were using the Yak-1.
The Mig 25 and Mig 31 are both interceptors, they are designed to fire from distance and evade. The Su 35 is designed for Air Superiority. We have held the edge in our capabilities for years compared to them.
Every expert I know of is skeptical of China's claimed Railgun weapon. As to why they would bother mounting it and making claims, why not? It is brinkmanship, making us think they have more capabilities than they do.
The laser rifle is a crowd deterrent weapon. It would serve almost no purpose in infantry combat because it cannot kill. Yes, it can burn things and cause pain, but that is all. Again, this was claimed to be far more effective than experts think during our diplomatic arguments over China's use of blinding lasers on aircraft. We have no hard evidence of it's capability.
Yes, Russia could sell such a missile to our enemies versus using it directly against us. The problem is that as soon as they do so, the genie is out of the bottle. It will be reverse engineered quickly and could be USED AGAINST THEM. No country gives or sells away it's absolute top level weaponry except to it's most trusted allies. Allies which, for all intents and purposes, know that using such a weapon against another nation state risks full out retaliation against not only them but the country that sold it to them.
Our carriers are excellent mobile platforms, but they are not our only way of mounting air strikes. If we were somehow in a conventional war situation, we could easily fly over and base our aircraft in allied countries for combat. Most of our nuclear capable aircraft are not carrier launched anyway. Even if somehow all of our carriers were taken out and somehow our SAC bombers were destroyed as well, we would still have more than enough land launched and submarine launched nuclear warheads to easily blanket our enemies.
My points remain:
1. It is in the greatest interest of our enemies to boast about weapon capabilities even if they are not effective yet.
2. Most well regarded experts consider many of these weapons to either be still in the research stage, early production stage (IE not available for years), or they are wildly over hyped.
3. There is no logical reason for our enemies to use these weapons or proliferate them to their closest allies unless the weapons can prevent a nuclear response. Merely mentioning a weapon that would have such a capability creates a situation that could lead to nuclear war, like SDI did. I don't know if you recall, but I do clearly, how massively freaked out the Soviets got over our SDI claims. For two years they started threatening nuclear war as being inevitable if we continued on the path we were, all the while aggressively trying to destabilize our relations with our allies. 1983 to 1985 was pretty fucking tense, not Cuban missile crisis level maybe, but damn scary. Putin has acted similarly over our attempts to set up a missile barrier in former satellite states of Russia, although we still haven't got to the SHTF level of the early 80's.
The Zero's Chinese performance was ignored by the U.S. command prior to pearl harbor, dismissed as exaggeration. That's actually the crux of my point.
Exceptional moments do not change the rule.
Yes on occasion a wildcat would get swiss cheesed and not go down, but 99% of the time when swiss cheesed they went down.
Yes, there were wildcat aces that did fairly well (and Zero aces that did even better), but 99% of wildcat pilots were just trying to not get mauled.
Hellcat didn't enter combat till mid 1943, and it is the correction to the mistake. The F6F should have been the front line fighter at the start of the war... and could have been made sooner had Japanese tech not been ignored/dismissed as exaggeration.
Russian quantity as quality? At the start they were shot down at a higher ratio than the manufacturing counter ratio (by a lot). It was a white wash in favor of the Germans.
It took improvements in Russian tech to turn the tide in the air. Lend-lease only constituted about 10% of their air force at the peak. Russia had to improve their own forces, so they did. By the end, planes like the yak3 were par with the best.
The Mig31 is a slower Mig25 with a digital radar. Their version of the F14, not really ahead of the times, par maybe.
F15 is faster than either mig29 or Su27 (roughly Mig31 speed).
F16/F18, at altitude, are moderately slower, but a wash at sea level.
Why would they shoot and run?
We have awacs, we would know they are coming, so the only chance to shoot would be at max range. Max range shots are throw-away shots, they basically won't hit unless the target is unaware, which it won't be unaware because of the RWR. Just a slight turn and the missile can't follow after tens of miles of coasting and losing energy.
Chinese railgun is in sea trials, right now. Not some lab test. It wouldn't be on a ship without first having the gun proven, the mount proven, the fire control proven, stationary testing completed, etc.
2025 is the estimate for fleet wide usage.
Try finding a picture of a U.S. railgun aboard a U.S. ship.
Why would a laser rifle not work, when you can buy crap like this : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7baI2Nyi5rI
There's ones made in China, too : https://www.sanwulasers.com/customurl.aspx?type=Product&key=7wblue&shop=
That will light paper on fire ~instantly, and it's just a pitiful hand held laser pointer.
An actual weapon would be orders of magnitude stronger than a handheld toy.
It's an excellent covert operations weapon, silently blinding and starting fires form kilometers away.
Russia does not need to sink a U.S. carrier for no reason.
And the U.S. has no interest in giving Russia proper a need to defend from a U.S. carrier. For the very reasons you mentioned.
What Russia can do is proliferate such a missile, and effectively deprecate the U.S. carrier group as a military unit.
We need carriers to get our air force to wherever we need it to be.
If everyone had these missiles, we would have no way to deliver our air force by naval means.
Russia has land access to Europe, Asia, Africa. They can send planes to anywhere they need to go, from land bases. Russia doesn't /need/ a navy.
Most of the planet does not have a navy worth sinking. It's just us. This is the kind of weapon that disproportionately affects us.
-scheherazade
Oroville Spillways Phase 2 Update August 29, 2018
The hype video helps understand it better though right?
It blows my mind every time I see it how much energy takes to build a simple spillway.
Oroville Spillways Phase 2 Update August 14, 2018
sweet. they created a hype video to distract people from their slow progress.
Why graphene hasn’t taken over the world...yet
For some reason, the way it falls in the vial reminds me a lot of Silent Hill.
Certainly a cool material, and I'm hoping it'll get some good real-world applications soon. Seriously doubt we'll be seeing wearable stuff in 2019 though - that still seems too hype-y.
Obama speech given at the Bilderberg Group
Fuck's sake, Bob, take a moment and do some research.
http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2014/jun/23/chain-email/video-barack-obama-speech-circulating-internet-was/
Clipping the speech like that is some Alex Jones level shit. Don't be like Alex Jones, Bob.
I'm not the greatest fan of Obama after I grew immune to his hype, but he wasn't a proponent of dictatorship.
Trying to explain bitcoin
The problem with bitcoin is it being treated like a commodity instead of a currency.
Some very rich people pulled a pump and dump---over the course of several months mind you---and a lot of the 'liitle folks' got burned in the hype.
Fahrenheit 451 (2018) Official Trailer ... HBO
This and Westworld season 2... super hype and *promote. Looks good so far.
fox news slam President Obama an praise trump over the thing
To be fair, I'm sure that examples could be found of media personalities praising Obama/Clinton for similar stuff that they ragged Bush Sr./Jr. for. Best example off the top of my head might be Bush's "terrible war crimes" vs Obama's "brilliant use of drones".
Now, that all comes with a big disclaimer from me. I disliked Obama's expansion of drone bombing, flip-flop in in-office stance vs campaign stance on whistleblower protection, etc. But, I'd still personally evaluate Bush's, uh, miscues as overwhelmingly worse than Obama's. All I'm saying is that there have certainly been talking heads that have been hypocritical in the other direction before.
That being said, this clip takes it to a whole other level. This isn't nuanced, this is blatant. The only rational explanation is that Fox News simply is that biased, shamelessly so (no surprise to most of us). The problem is that Fox News' audience isn't particularly swayed by rational explanations.
I think clearing that "reality distortion field" is something that takes lots of time and lots of indisputable evidence. That's why I basically hope that Trump gets plenty of leash to try (and fail) to fulfill all of his ridiculous promises and self-hype. Nothing like a pointless and decaying border wall to serve as a reminder to be careful about who's cult of personality you get sucked into...
Response, bobknight?
I'm guessing... "well, yeah but liberal media does it too..."
Solo Sabotage Trailer
Hmmm... I can understand the intent is to drum up the hype & interest for Solo, but really, I think the PR machine is just spinning in circles and going through the motions for the paychecks. These teasers are not going to convince the hard core SW fans that the movie will be good/worthy of the SW name. Oh well, it is meant for the general public.
For as a rich universe as Star Wars, I can stomach the terrible movies. I can mental-block those because there are plenty of other mediums that can tell much better SW stories. Sadly I put ever less and less hope that the big movies can kindle the love of the property. As many of the movie-making analysis videos say, modern SFX bonanza is really more of a hindrance than complimentary to better film-making.
My main enjoyment of SW now comes from the books, comics and the model kits I build. The movies, not so much.
Launch Of Elon Musk's $250,000 Tesla Into Space 2/6/18 LIVE
Watched it live. Hype was infectious. Seeing the two side boosters coming down together in almost perfect synchronisation was quite a thing.
Jake tapper schools Ted Crockett
Some folk'll never hype a skunk
And then again some folk'll
Like Teddy, the slack jawed yokel
That right there is the definition of slack-jawed.
Marvel Studio's Avengers: Infinity War Trailer
Yep, sold...
sign me the hell up for this!
Geek hype!!
Megabot Robot Duel Teaser
Wasn't working, but it's on YouTube, and yes, that was embarrassing. All that work, money, and hype...for that? I haven't watched to the end yet, but I doubt we'll see a second one of these any time soon unless the final battle is amazing. Too bad.
https://go.twitch.tv/megabotsinc
After watching the first two rounds i have to agree with artician. The whole thing is embarrassing.
Star Wars: The Last Jedi Trailer (Official)
Extremely cautious about this one after Ep. 7 turned out to just be a cash-grab rehash of elements from the original trilogy. I refuse to board the hype train this time around. If it's good I'll be pleasantly surprised. At the very least, it will be interesting to see if the most common Internet theories about Rey's origins are correct.
Star Wars: The Last Jedi Trailer (Official)
Well I'm on the hype train. I got tickets ordered, luckily. Going to be seeing it on the 16th (Sat). Best part, reserved seating so I got good seats for the best experience. Yay~