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Colbert To Trump: 'Doing Nothing Is Cowardice'
scheherazadeProbability doesn't stack like that.
Imagine this.
25% chance. I.E. 0.25 ratio.
Using your method, after 10 trials, the ratio is 0.25 * 10 = 2.5, aka 250%. Beyond certain.
The proper method for 10 trials at 25% is : 1-(0.75^10) = 94% chance.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geometric_distribution#Assumptions:_When_is_the_geometric_distribution_an_appropriate_model.3F
Hence why 1/24'974 per year (aka 0.004% chance per year) needs 17'000 years to reach 50% chance overall.
If you use the discharge figure (1/514'147), you get to 350'000 years to reach 50%.
-scheherazade
No. I think that's 1 out of every 24974 people are killed by a firearm assault each year....according to her.
Assuming that stays static, that's a 1/2497 chance you'll be killed by guns every 10 years, or an overall 1/250 chance if you live to 100. Not so great anymore.
Edit:where are you getting 1/350000? Not your chart.
Future Weapons: The Dillon Gatling gun firing tracer rounds
K0MMIEJust an FYI... its a 10 to 1 ratio for tracer rounds.