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Ray Kurzweil - The Singularity: A Hard or Soft Takeoff?

The Singularity Summit symposium hosted by Stanford University was a series keynote addresses given with the purpose of addressing the very real implications that the Singularity may hold in the near future in an academic setting, and (without being too melodramatic on my part) to question what the very fate of the human species may be in the 21st century.
shaisays...

Lots of hand waving but provocative. I find the singularity argument completely unconvincing (now and when I first heard it in 1999) but it's fun in a way to think about future technology without worrying too much about constraints. There's a lot of excess skepticism from the hubris in the 80s and 90s.

I'm glad to see Kurzweil not only leaning on computer power but I don't think it constitutes a good argument to say imaging is getting better, therefore one should believe all problems will be solved on some arbitrary timeline. There's also subtle backpedaling. In 1999 he was talking about uploading the contents of actual brains into computers. Funny, considering there isn't even a glimmer of physically possible technology to achieve that. Many are optimistic but his time scale is absurd.

nickreal03says...

I think he is close to been dead on. He may be a decade or so off because of the high resolution exponent graphs are non-smooth. But besides that he is correct.

Whether there is a technology out there that could be promising for uploading our minds. I think there are a bunch of them but not in the form of uploading anything yet. But the seeds are there.

Whether there will be a machine that will be smarter than humans. God I hope so because lets face it we suck. I must rather have as a president a machine which its hold mission is to make sure that the country prosper than a human with god knows how many golds he/she has.

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