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David Tennant singing I would walk 500 miles

Dog flips for his new red bouncy ball

Two guys speak a dozen languages in a mall

Friesian says...

Moses' French accent is pretty bad, but it's still understandable. The Irish dude has a pretty good French accent though. Having said that, this is coming from a Brit, so I'm not a native French speaker. At least to me the Irish guy sounded pretty good.>> ^lucky760:

I'm envious. I've always wished to be fluently multilingual.
I wonder how poor his accent is in all those other languages because his Vietnamese is pretty bad, not that I can hold that against him.

The Evolution Of The Uneven Bars.

Friesian says...

I can't help but listen to that and think of Ed Harris saying "What have I done..?" and then dying. "WHERE'S THE LAST ROCKET?!"

Also, I really enjoyed the 60s uneven bars. I had no idea they used to be close together, and it resulted in some awesome dismounts.

"Revolutionary" Milk Carton On Austrian Television (1980's)

Friesian says...

Being an Englishman living in America, man did I get funny looks from my colleagues when I used the phrase "cock up" in a training seminar. Everyone thought I'd said the rudest thing in the history of mankind, while I was all, "what?">> ^Quboid:

>> ^spoco2:
Ahh, "It'll be alright on the night", that was a great show that I remember from my childhood.
On the topic of the particular video though... how could they not have actually demonstrated to him how he was supposed to use the carton before going on tv to demonstrate? Ineptitude

This was great stuff. Especially pleasing to hear crusty old English gentlemen say "cock up". That's a phrase that needs to come back.

lucky760 (Member Profile)

Prometheus International Launch Trailer

Friesian says...

Thank you for the warning. Was waiting for it to load and thought to peruse the comments while it did so. Glad I read this—no watching for me!>> ^Kalle:

Thank you fucking trailer for showing the entire movie compressed in 2 minutes...

lucky760 (Member Profile)

Getting Dad's Old Car Back.

Friesian says...

Thank god. I was very upset when I read that comment. If it is true, and even though it is a commercial, shouldn't this have a *happy tag (yes, I know siftbot, I'm sorry).>> ^deathcow:

>> ^Barseps:
>> ^deathcow:
Herb Younger was played by Jeff Neilson.
Jared Younger was played by Herb Yorkson.
Thanks to the Detroit Chevy Museum for the loaner vehicle.

Seriously??

No, actually I made that part up.

First Ever Sighting of a White Lady Spider

Bomb Defusing in WWII

Friesian says...

>> ^offsetSammy:

You are correct that each bomb diffusion is an independent event and always has the same probability of success, but it is also correct to say that the chances of successfully diffusing 4 bombs IN A ROW is 40%, 10 bombs IN A ROW is 10%, etc. In this case each event is dependent, but you have to work out the probabilities at the start, before any bombs are diffused.
It's kind of like flipping a coin (which has a 50% chance of landing heads or tails every time). Every time I flip it, I have a 50% chance of landing on heads, but my chances of getting say 5 heads in a row is only 3%. (0.5^5) Imagine that flipping tails results in death. Now you can start to see the peril these guys were in!
So if the 80% bomb diffusion success rate was correct, it would be valid to say, BEFORE the person does it, that if they are tasked with diffusing 10 bombs, their chances of survival are only 10%. Note that, every time they successfully diffuse a bomb, their overall odds of survival improve a little bit (because now they only have to diffuse 9 in a row, 8 in a row, etc).
p.s. I think you'll find that the chance of the sun rising every day is quite a bit higher than 99%.
>> ^Friesian:
My maths is pretty rusty, but I'm not sure you can do the probabilities in that manner because they're unrelated events: your success in defusing one bomb has no bearing (statistically at least) on your ability to defuse the next one. Otherwise you could say things like:
Let's imagine there's a 99% chance that the sun will rise tomorrow. Assuming the sun rises each and every day for the next two months, the "probability" it would rise on the 61st day as well is near 50/50. Take this even further, and count back to when the sun first came into existence, and it's essentially impossible that the sun would still rise tomorrow.
Don't get me wrong, bomb defusing is one hell of a risky job—hell, average life expectancy was only 10 weeks according to the video—but I don't think your probabilities hold up.>> ^offsetSammy:
Scary stuff. If you do the math, let's say you had an 80% chance of successfully diffusing any given bomb. If your career consisted of diffusing only 4 bombs, and assuming an unsuccessful diffusion results in death, your chances of survival are only 40%. 6 bombs, 26%. 10 bombs, 10%. Yikes.
Note: I have no idea how accurate the 80% figure is. It would be interesting to hear the real statistic.



Yeah, I was thinking along the same lines, but there's something about it which makes me sit back and question it.


Interestingly, 3% seems really really low for getting 5 heads in a row (oh, I know it's correct, but it just appears low). There are 2 to the power 5 different combinations of heads/tails from 5 coin flips (32). As you've got to have at least one combination, 100%/32 (as they're all just as likely) = 3.125%, which is the same as 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2 * 1/2. I know I'm just reiterating what you said, but this helps me get it through my skull and into my brain.

Perhaps I'm overthinking this, or maybe ever since I heard about the Monty Hall problem I've never trusted myself to be able to accurately figure out probabilities.

Bomb Defusing in WWII

Friesian says...

My maths is pretty rusty, but I'm not sure you can do the probabilities in that manner because they're unrelated events: your success in defusing one bomb has no bearing (statistically at least) on your ability to defuse the next one. Otherwise you could say things like:

Let's imagine there's a 99% chance that the sun will rise tomorrow. Assuming the sun rises each and every day for the next two months, the "probability" it would rise on the 61st day as well is near 50/50. Take this even further, and count back to when the sun first came into existence, and it's essentially impossible that the sun would still rise tomorrow.

Don't get me wrong, bomb defusing is one hell of a risky job—hell, average life expectancy was only 10 weeks according to the video—but I don't think your probabilities hold up.>> ^offsetSammy:

Scary stuff. If you do the math, let's say you had an 80% chance of successfully diffusing any given bomb. If your career consisted of diffusing only 4 bombs, and assuming an unsuccessful diffusion results in death, your chances of survival are only 40%. 6 bombs, 26%. 10 bombs, 10%. Yikes.
Note: I have no idea how accurate the 80% figure is. It would be interesting to hear the real statistic.

Insanely close turn

Justin Timberlake is not going to sing tonight

Friesian says...

>> ^siftbot:

Video is already flagged Region Blocked - ignoring blocked request by notarobot.


If it's already blocked then why is there no blocked tag!! Outrageous.

Of course I realise that by the time many people read this the red blocked tag will have appeared, and so will therefore think I'm just plain stupid. Seriously though: it ain't there! Damn you siftbot for doing this to me...

People Of Walmart Song



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