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NDT Explains Why 2023 Climate Models Failed

bcglorf says...

Media(and even some of the vocal scientists trying to urge action) have been guilty of overstating confidence in climate modelling. Which is more or less what they are agreeing on in the video.

The IPCC summary of state of the art climate modelling, and virtually ALL published papers on various climate models agree that the unknown and poorly modelled aspects of our climate are larger than the known influence of CO2.

That is to say, the physical modelling largely operates on energy in and out from the Sun and then playing out how changes in that energy balance operate. The thing is, that energy budget is enormous, and the number of factors at play are even larger and dynamic to make it more fun. The influence of CO2 in the energy budget is one of the relatively straightforward elements, and so we've got a pretty good and confident assessment of how much it impacts energy balance. The problem with climate modelling, is that the CO2 impact is smaller than the errors and unknowns in many other factors in the model including clouds.

Which is all saying that our climate modelling is hard, and even though we know CO2 changes are pushing the energy balance up, our modelling of the energy balance is still not good enough to accurately predict energy balance changes. That means we've got a giant 'all other things being equal' qualifier on model projections because if cloud behaviour changes based on temperature, we KNOW that our errors there are larger than the influence of CO2.

Modellers have been trying to draw attention to this nuance, but it's been deemed inconvenient to persuading the public to act and thus ignored by many pushing for action. The almost inevitable side effect though is that over time the reality of the models inaccuracy will play out and the public is gonna be asking why 'science' was wrong.

make. a mark by making a chess move, with public.

newtboy says...

Interesting contraption, now they need a chess master that can draw a picture with his winning chess moves, the scribbles do nothing for me.

I turned myself into an AI superhero

newtboy says...

Um….what?
It’s not “turning yourself into a super hero” to have your photo 100% drawn over and not at all incorporated into the super hero drawing it became.

Also, what’s with the Bat Ramen?

Bird hits window (twice)

Bird hits window (twice)

newtboy says...

I grew up in a 90% glass house in a forest.
This happened daily when birds tried to fly through the invisible walls.
It was a jump scare every time when the wall suddenly gonged like they’d been hit with a mallet, drawing your attention to the often fluttering bird dropping.
I loved that house, but hated it every time that happened. 🙁

WONKA (2023 Movie) Trailer | Timothée Chalamet, Hugh Grant

newtboy says...

Why?
Who asked for this?

Can Hollywood either write or at least read some new stories, for adults, and not keep rehashing or prequelling classics…please? There’s plenty of excellent, unique books out there to draw from, and tons of history that seems more fantastical than the silliest fiction. Read some mythology, or old school fairy tales. Ancient religions are more interesting, action packed, gory, and full of unexpected twists than the best action movie ever…and done well you could teach people while entertaining them.
This looks like a bastardization of every feel good sugar sweet musical period piece in the last 20+ years. Not gonna downvote, but no thanks.

School Board CUTS Dad Off

newtboy says...

Omg…drawings of naked people! Heaven forfend! I feel I might be getting the vapours.

He’s the same kind of ridiculous puritanical idiot that wants David to be covered. Ridicule him at every turn, and stone him if he eats shellfish, pork, wears blended fabrics, tells a lie (uh oh…get a rock), or does literally anything on Saturday, the true Jewish sabbath god commanded be honored, etc. Stone him to death….and his family…like the Bible prescribes.

I notice his talking points didn’t actually come from the book he was holding that he said contained it, he had some print out he was reading, not a book. Typical dishonest righty bait and switch…not that what he read was even inappropriate.

I also note that teaching 10 year olds basic biology is 100% proper. My school taught these basic biology tidbits earlier than 6th grade, didn’t yours?

If you want your children growing up ignorant morons, send them to Christian school where incest is good, rape is good, drugging people is good, drugging your own father with the intent to rape him is good, slavery is good, violent murder is good, killing entire generations of babies is good…but eating at red lobster is a death penalty level offence, so is wearing a cotton/poly blend, or mowing/cooking/working on the sabbath.

You maggots are such frightened little infants, you show us every day.

BSR (Member Profile)

Ukraine losing 500 troops daily in Bakhmut fight

bobknight33 says...

" russian bootlicker and i confirmed it. case closed."

How by what proof?

Im just watching what is going on.

You draw conclusion from you ass.

again How by what proof?

surfingyt said:

oh i won, you dipshit. youre a russian bootlicker and i confirmed it. case closed.

re: all the other shit dribbling out your mouth in that response... fook it. you think i give a damn one way or another? youre a habitual loser and pointing it out is all i really care about lololol

one month later!? hahaha you loser.

The case to rename this famous Christmas plant

drradon says...

Not so inconsistent with how Christianity has been practiced in the past (Spanish Inquisition ring a bell, anyone?) and the looting of resources of native cultures by "Missionaries"... even to the extent of hijacking a pre-Christian "pagan" celebration (winter solstice) in order to draw adherents... Why pick at historical nits when there are much more impactful transgressions related to the holiday celebration???

Pelosi gets under Trump's skin in the most brutal way

newtboy says...

The best part is, being a CIVIL case, Congress can (and will) draw negative inference from a 5th amendment plea….they can assume the worst every time he won’t answer, perfectly legal and normal to do exactly that in civil cases….like this pre prosecution.


Bye Felicia.

surfingyt said:

Hillary testified under oath for 11 hours without pleading the 5th. I bet trump is too afraid and weak to even do 5 minutes. She also attended Trump's inauguration after she lost the election to him. What did Trump do after he lost to Biden? Ran away like the little bitch he is.

Hillary has bigger balls than Trump.

newtboy (Member Profile)

Bridge opening, ribbon cutting ceremony

The Infamous Aldeyjarfoss | Kayaking Iceland Part 3

newtboy says...

There isn’t a single McDonalds in all of Iceland!! One more draw for the most beautiful country in the Northern hemisphere. Just stunning…all of it. Highly recommend.

BSR said:

👍 👍 parts 1 and 2

Didn't see one McDonalds out there

Midterm uphill battle for Democcrats

newtboy says...

Such a sad little boy. That’s all you can come up with vs worse language skills and treason, unprecedented massive vote frauds, and a failed coup? 😂

Edit: You are such a constant waste of my research time….He actually said “I was in the foot-Hima…foot, excuse me…foothills of the Himalayas with Xi Xing Ping….he combined foothills and Himalayas once then stuttered the word “foothills” and instantly correctly pronounced it afterwards. Such blatant quick edit to make it sound like gibberish when, as expected, seen as the whole video it barely registers as a stutter. More dishonest kindergarten level silliness, all you’ve ever had against Biden. 🤦‍♂️
15:26 into his speech. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mqNtQ6c_HAU

Biden has a long term diagnosed speech impediment you LOVE to ridicule, making you an infant and douchebag that laughs at people’s disabilities, even the most successful people who overcame those disabilities to levels you could never dream of reaching….

…Trump has a severe brain impediment you LOVE to ignore completely. He stares into the sun, suggests mainlining bleach, says Washington “took over airports”, publicly brags about having sex with his daughter, draws hurricane projections in sharpie and thinks it looks like an official weather map, wonders about the oranges, oranges, the oranges of the investigation, can’t say “yesterday”… And on top of thousands of examples of him being utterly brainless, he reads, writes, and speaks gibberish and you lap it up.
He also has a morals and an ethics impediment, but I’ll stick to ridiculing his words.
Trump was president Jimmy Wichard (also accused of frying his brain by staring into the sun, but it’s kind of a chicken and egg thing). YOU think that makes him a genius.



Covfefe.
Go sell it on Troth Senchel, those morons will believe anything
🤦‍♂️ 😂

bobknight33 said:

And Biden said -- Well WTF

(Disingenuous 7 second edit of a 17 minute speech)



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